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Tuesday, 4 August 2009

Lame duck governments

A thread i forgot to get the notifications from and so is progressing more slowly than I would like. from Julian's musings on the subject of our fourth term:

Bearded Socialist said
August 4, 2009 at 9:25 am

You’re not alone, as I too think we can still win this one.
As far as I can tell, our core vote is pretty annoyed with the gov, and I think they will hold the key (as they usually do).
Being the Gov in power helps to stay in power, my fear is that a scraped win will leave us as a lame duck gov., thereby working against the interests of the country and the longer term interests of the party. Ideally, we can turn the economy round and convince our supporters that we are doing enough of the things they want to keep us happy, then they will come out and vote for us. If not, we could be in trouble.

Julian Ware-Lane said
August 4, 2009 at 9:34 am

I share your fears about a narrow win, or even a hung Parliament. But even these scenarios have got to be better than the prospect of a Co

Bearded Socialist said
August 4, 2009 at 7:24 pm

If I can explain myself, i think a parallel with the Tories in 92-97 shows the problems of a lame duck government, which is then out of power for much longer.
I’m certain that there will be a Tory government after either this election or the next. My fear is that if we win 2010 we will be out for 18 years again, but if we loose in 2010 we could be back in again at the next election, 2014ish.
Better a term out of power than a generation

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